Weekly FX Market Analysis for Week-Ended July 9, 2021
Please see below commentary on the Foreign Exchange (FX) market with data for the week-ended July 9, 2021. The table following the commentary compares Spot FX weekly turnover for trades between banks (FMDQ Dealing Member (Banks) [DMBs]/Authorised Dealers) and their clients for the week ended July 2 & July 9, 2021.
In the FX Spot, Forwards and Futures markets, the total turnover for the week-ended July 9, 2021, was $663.04 million, representing a decrease of 13.60% ($104.40 million) from $767.44 million reported for the week-ended July 2, 2021. The week-on-week (WoW) decrease in turnover was jointly driven by the 11.97% ($70.44 million) and 18.98% ($33.96 million) decrease in the FX Spot and FX Derivatives turnover, respectively. (See Table 1 below)
The WoW decrease in FX Derivatives turnover was jointly driven by the 6.62% ($5.86 million) and 31.09% ($28.09 million) decrease in FX Forwards and FX Futures turnover respectively, resulting in a
1.45 percentage points decrease in FX Derivatives’ contribution to total FX market turnover to 21.86%, from 23.31% recorded in the previous week
§ In the Investors’ & Exporters’ (I&E) FX market, the total value of transactions for the week-ended July 9, 2021, was $518.10 million, representing a decrease of 11.97% ($70.44 million) from the value of transactions executed in the week-ended July 2, 2021 ($588.54 million)
Table 1: Weekly FX Turnover Analysis
Week-ended July 9, 2021 |
Week-ended July 2, 2021 |
WoW % Change |
|||||
Weekly |
Daily Average |
Percentage (%) Share |
Weekly |
Daily Average |
Percentage (%) Share |
||
($’million) |
($’million) |
||||||
FX Spot |
518.10 |
103.62 |
78.14 |
588.54 |
117.71 |
76.69 |
(11.97) |
Forwards |
82.68 |
16.54 |
12.47 |
88.55 |
17.71 |
11.54 |
(6.62) |
Futures |
62.26 |
12.45 |
9.38 |
90.35 |
18.07 |
11.77 |
(31.09) |
FX Derivatives |
144.94 |
28.99 |
21.86 |
178.90 |
35.78 |
23.31 |
(18.98) |
Total |
663.04 |
132.61 |
100.00 |
767.44 |
153.49 |
100.00 |
(13.60) |
For the week-ended July 9, 2021, the average Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Fixing (NAFEX) rate was $/?411.28, compared to $/?410.74 recorded in the previous week-ended July 2, 2021, representing a depreciation of the Naira against the United States (US) Dollar by 0.13% ($/?0.54)
In the parallel market, the average exchange rate remained unchanged at $/?500.00 for the week- ended July 9, 2021. Consequently, the spread between the average parallel market exchange rate and NAFEX rate decreased WoW by 0.60% ($/?0.54) to $/?88.72 in the week-ended July 9, 2021, from
$/?89.26 recorded in the previous week. (See Table 2 below)
Table 2: Weekly FX Rate Analysis
July 5 |
July 6 |
July 7 |
July 8 |
July 9 |
Weekly Average (July 9, 2021) |
Weekly Average (July 2, 2021) |
WoW % Change |
|
NAFEX ($/?) |
411.25 |
411.17 |
411.42 |
411.29 |
411.29 |
411.28 |
410.74 |
0.13 |
Parallel market ($/?) |
500.00 |
500.00 |
500.00 |
500.00 |
500.00 |
500.00 |
500.00 |
0.00 |
In the FX Futures market, $62.26 million worth of FX Futures contracts were traded in six (6) deals, representing a WoW decrease of 0.31% ($28.09 million) when compared to $90.35 million traded in thirteen (13) deals recorded in the week-ended July 2, 2021